Fun Stuff > CLIKC
It's finally official.
0bsessions:
--- Quote from: SeanTheFilmGuy on 22 Apr 2007, 19:26 ---Metal Gear Solid 4
MGS 3 was the reason i bought the ps2. its the only game thats made me buy a system solely for the purpose of playing it. anything else you could always just go rent a rig for a week.
right now the 360 is the more compelling option, better games, edge in price (the new pro version looks sweeeet!) and all around more things going for it. more games seem to be being made for it right off the bat (like GTA4)
--- End quote ---
I'd lay very heavy odds on MGS 4 making its way to the 360. Honestly, out of all the major non-Sony produced exclusives, Final Fantasy XIII seemed like the least likely to lose its exclusivity. MGS 2 made it to Xbox, and considering how much the 360 is outselling the PS3 and the rate at which third party developers are jumping ship, I sincerely doubt that Sony will maintain exclusivity on it.
Really, the only solid rationale for buying a PS3 right now is the fact the Blu Ray player is allegedly a good quality one and it's cheaper than most any other Blu Ray player. The downside being, we're right in the thick of a format war with no clear winner in sight. Spending $600 on a format that has about a 50/50 chance of not being around in two years is VERY risky, especially considering how much cheaper an HD DVD player is.
All told, barring a MAJOR price drop (Which is fiscally implausible) or a complete breakdown in Microsoft (Probably even less likely), I don't think Sony has a snowball's chance in Hell of even taking second place in this generation of consoles. Unless Sony nails some MAJOR exclusives and keeps them exclusive, the current projected sales (9.5 million for 360, 6.52 for Wii and 3.15 for PS3, according to various articles online) will likely reflect the trend. It's going to be a two man race between Microsoft and Nintendo this time out, and I honestly think that considering the Wii's price point the two could easily coexist (I have a Wii and am buying a 360 next month). In the end, I'd say the Playstation 3 is pretty fucked.
ScrambledGregs:
I don't think people fully appreciate the SIGNIFICANCE(!!) of both the Final Fantasy and Dragon Quest franchises jumping ship. Allow me to explain...
Not many people in the U.S. care about Dragon Quest, but VIII was the best selling game on PS2 in Japan, and any Dragon Quest game on a system means that system will sell like crazy. The fact that they are bringing Dragon Quest IX to the DS, which already sells like mad in Japan, means they just gave Nintendo a license to print (even more) money.
As for Final Fantasy, it's absurd the number of people who bought a PS1 and PS2 just to play the FF installments on those systems. None of my friends had any interest in the PS2 until FFX was shown off to the public. I would go so far as to say that the FF series has become a console making franchise in the U.S. That the main numbered game in the series might go multi-platform is unheard of, especially since every FF since VII has been on a Sony console.
The other important aspect we need to consider is that it costs a lot of money and takes a lot of resources to develop for the PS3 and 360. It makes more sense to developers, even the ones with lots of money and lots of resources like Square, Capcom, and Konami, to make their new installments multi-platform. It takes less money and resources to port a game than to develop it initially. On the other hand, we see Nintendo with their "underpowered" Wii and DS saying "come develop for us, it's easier and cheaper." The discrepancy in power between handhelds and consoles is getting smaller, such that we will start seeing major franchises have sequels (not spin-offs) on the DS. You can develop and release a DS game in much less time than it takes to develop a console game. They just announced Dragon Quest IX in December and I wouldn't be surprised if it was out by this winter in Japan.
Ozymandias:
--- Quote from: 0bsessions on 23 Apr 2007, 07:22 ---Really, the only solid rationale for buying a PS3 right now is the fact the Blu Ray player is allegedly a good quality one and it's cheaper than most any other Blu Ray player. The downside being, we're right in the thick of a format war with no clear winner in sight. Spending $600 on a format that has about a 50/50 chance of not being around in two years is VERY risky, especially considering how much cheaper an HD DVD player is.
--- End quote ---
In a vacuum where Blu-Ray and HD-DVD are the only options, Blu-Ray will win, as much as I am loathe to say it. It has more support and more recognition among videophiles already and is pulling ahead very quickly. In the real world, however, there is a third option: none of the above. And that's what the average consumer will choose. Most people don't give a crap about an HD disc technology. They don't have the TV to support it, they don't want to spend the money for the hardware to play it, and beyond the resolution increase there's no incentive to buy it. DVD was a very noticable improvement from VHS: interactive menus, special features, easy to use, no rewinding, etc. When DVD fell to affordability (which took several years) there was no reason to stay behind on VHS.
I don't see that same epiphany happening to the HD disc formats. It will be a niche market until it just fizzles out due to the advent of a superior technology.
Johnny C:
Normally I am all up on these things, but my dad asked me to explain the difference between Blu-Ray and HD-DVD yesterday and I was at a loss.
Anyways, Sony's apparently even lost exclusivity of Katamari Damacy. Poor bastards. And by "poor" I mean "arrogant."
ScrambledGregs:
Why aren't they porting Katamari to Wii?? It's a perfect god damn game for what the Wii is all about.
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