Comic Discussion > QUESTIONABLE CONTENT

WCDT: 2236-40 (23-27 July 2012) Weekly Comic Discussion Thread

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Somebody:

--- Quote from: Mad Cat on 24 Jul 2012, 08:02 ---I think I would have the same reaction as Momo to the suggestion that I be used as a battering ram.

--- End quote ---
"I'm fine thank you Susan."

Carl-E:

--- Quote from: Boomslang on 25 Jul 2012, 04:58 ---If she'd seen those shows, and mentioned them to anyone else who had seen that show, they somehow never actually used that word when talking about it.
--- End quote ---

Entirely possible, especially if she'd only seen a few episodes her little brother/cousin/nephew was watching over his shoulder.  Also, perhaps she's seen (or heard) the word, but was taking ths opportunity to find out what it really meant...


--- Quote ---This is like the social equivalent of getting hit with a meteorite on your birthday. Technically possible, but wildly improbable.

--- End quote ---

The probability of getting hit with a meteorite on your birthday is exactly the same as getting hit with one on any other day.  Don't confuse coincidence with conitional probability! 

Mothykins:

--- Quote from: Carl-E on 25 Jul 2012, 07:00 ---
--- Quote from: Boomslang on 25 Jul 2012, 04:58 ---If she'd seen those shows, and mentioned them to anyone else who had seen that show, they somehow never actually used that word when talking about it.
--- End quote ---

Entirely possible, especially if she'd only seen a few episodes her little brother/cousin/nephew was watching over his shoulder.  Also, perhaps she's seen (or heard) the word, but was taking ths opportunity to find out what it really meant...


--- Quote ---This is like the social equivalent of getting hit with a meteorite on your birthday. Technically possible, but wildly improbable.

--- End quote ---

The probability of getting hit with a meteorite on your birthday is exactly the same as getting hit with one on any other day.  Don't confuse coincidence with conitional probability!

--- End quote ---

But wouldn't it be a lower probability since it's only that one day out of the whole year? I mean, sure, it's equally probable to get hit by a meteorite on your birthday as on the fourth of July or Easter or any other day, but that's looking at the separate days, not the year as a whole. For you to be hit precisely on your birthday as opposed to any other day in the entire year? That's gotta be improbable.

pwhodges:
The probability of being struck requires a time period to be meaningful.  So, the probability of being struck in your lifetime is much greater than the probability of being struck on a particular day, or selection of days (such as those which are your birthdays).

Redball:
And how about the odds of being struck as you pray to Almighty God for the destruction of your Worst Enemy, or the utter victory of your Favorite Team?

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