Before someone goes to the lynching tree and throws a rope up, I'd like to say a couple of things.
1. The odds of me being one of the werewolves are about 1 in 15, or rather 13.4% for me being either werewolf, but that means that at 86.6%, I'm most likely NOT the werewolf.
2. I am far too obvious a target to be a werewolf, name aside, considering the last game. The werewolves in this game are most likely to be the people we would least suspect, the beasts would probably be relatives of the villagers from that other village.
1) As was stated by J (and sort of amended by Unicorn), it's
at least 2 in 15. And regardless of the odds, the same probability can apply to ANY one of us, so it's not really useful in eliminating any suspicion.
2) Flipping a coin and getting tails won't make tails any less likely to appear on the next flip. Unless Black Sword has said otherwise, it's safest to assume we were all randomly assigned roles, and each had an equal shot at any of them, regardless of who we were in past games, if anyone.
I really don't like this flow of logic you're feeding us. And I'd say the same thing, even if you were named TheCuteFluffyDog and looked like this:
D'awww.... er... sorry.
Shifting gears, I mentioned nervioso earlier for a reason. There are, in fact, two enemies this village can encounter:
1) The werewolves... big surprise
2) People who don't friggin' have the decency to at least slide a note under the door to give some sort of opinion on the matter.
Seriously, think about it. All you who said something... I have at least a statement to go by and can at least
try to make judgements based on that. I don't have anything on nervioso and I don't know that I can expect that to change. If we keep him around and he doesn't post it means either: A) He's a werewolf in hiding or B) he's a villager hindering us by making us wonder about his allegiance with nothing to go on.
If I HAD to lynch someone, it'd be nervioso. And because I want to leave that as an option...
vote dr nervioso. At least two people voted No Lynch. He's not in any real danger yet, deadline or no deadline. Just hear me out and vote *something* so we at least know where everyone stands before day 1 is over. Also, if nervioso DOES show up, then I think my argument is lost and we should just no lynch...